Scenarios: a tool in the construction of a peace process in southern Colombia

Parcival Peña Torres, ; Claritza Marlés Betancourt, ; Octavio Hernández Castorena,

Synopsis

The development of the paper is part of the doctoral research Design of Scenarios in Peace Building Florence–Caquetá and aims to identify scenarios in the peace-building process from the perception of university students in southern Colombia. It represents an opportunity to rethink the armed conflict that has been prolonged, diverse, and intense, causing pain and irreparable losses to society. Scenarios do not predict what will happen, but they allow us to better understand possible developments in order to redefine our actions and address what could happen tomorrow. The research is structured within the interpretative paradigm, with a mixed cross-sectional approach. The results identified the scenarios called Half Peace, Peace as Usual, Negative Peace, and the Visionary Peace scenario, which allows the creation, unveiling, discovery, design, and even construction of more convenient, feasible, and desirable futures.

Author Biographies

Parcival Peña Torres, Universidad Baja California (México)

Docente titular de la Universidad de la Amazonia, candidato a doctor en Gerencia y Política Educativa, Universidad Baja California (México); magíster en Administración, Universidad de la Salle; especialista en finanzas, Universidad del Valle; especialista en dirección y administración, Universidad de la Sabana, y director del grupo de investigación GEMA.

Claritza Marlés Betancourt, Universidad de la Amazonia

Docente asociada de la Universidad de la Amazonia; doctora en Educación y Cultura Ambiental, Universidad de la Amazonia; magíster en Administración, Universidad del Valle; especialista en Gerencia de Mercadeo, Universidad de Santander; investigadora del grupo GEMA. 

Octavio Hernández Castorena, Autonomous University of Aguascalientes

Docente de la universidad Autónoma de Aguascalientes, México.  

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Published

November 4, 2022

How to Cite

Peña Torres, P., Betancourt, C. M., & Hernández Castorena, O. (2022). Scenarios: a tool in the construction of a peace process in southern Colombia. In Challenges and Trends for the Sustainability of Organizations in Scenarios of Uncertainty (pp. 292-315). Sello Editorial UNAD. https://doi.org/10.22490/9789586518352.13